In this post, I will predict each qualifying round matchup, along with the round robins. I will use the losers from this post to run a simulation to see who gets the #1 pick and do a mock draft. I will also use the winners from this post to predict the playoffs further.
The Top Seed Round Robin
WESTERN CONFERENCE
The St Louis Blues, Dallas Stars, Vegas Golden Knights and Colorado Avalanche have reached this stage.
Predictions for each game
St Louis 5, Dallas 1
Colorado 4, Vegas 3 (OT)
St Louis 3, Colorado 2 (SO)
Vegas 4, Dallas 2
Vegas 3, St Louis 2 (OT)
Dallas 3, Colorado 1
Standings
1- St Louis 2-0-1, 5 points, Wins tiebreaker by Regular Season
2-Vegas 2-0-1, 5 points
3-Colorado 1-1-1, 3 points
4-Dallas 1-2-0, 2 points
EASTERN CONFERENCE
The Boston Bruins, Tampa Bay Lightning, Washington Capitals and Philadelphia Flyers have reached this stage
Predictions for each game
Boston 4, Tampa 3 (OT)
Washington 5, Philadelphia 2
Boston 5, Washington 3
Tampa 3, Philadelphia 1
Boston 3, Philadelphia 1
Tampa 4, Washington 3 (OT)
Standings
1-Boston 3-0-0, 6 points
2-Tampa 2-0-1, 5 points
3-Washington 1-1-1, 3 points
4-Philadelphia 0-3-0, 0 points
GOALTENDING, A UNIVERSAL X-FACTOR
Goaltending is always important come playoff time, but never this important. Goaltenders can make or break the round robin and qualifiers.
In the eastern round robin, Tuukka Rask and Andrei Vasilevskiy are both elite goaltenders who have to prove that they can win a championship. How will young Carter Hart face the stress of playoff hockey for the first time, especially far from the friendly confines of Broad Street, where he has struggled away from. In Washington, a goaltender controversy approaches. Do the Capitals go with veteran Braden Holtby, or rookie phenom Ilya Samsonov?
In the west, Jordan Binnington must prove he is not a fluke and is well deserving among the game’s elite. Marc Andre Fleury and Ben Bishop are veteran elite tendies, but they both have capable backups if they fail. Also, does Colorado go with Pavel Francouz or Phillip Grubauer?
In the eastern qualifiers, Sergei Bobrovsky is the man of focus. Can Bobrovsky shake off a bad first season in Florida, and help the Panthers avenge their heartbreaking 2016 playoff loss to the Islanders? Can Carey Price turn back the clock and lead Montreal to a massive upset against the Penguins? Do the Islanders go with Thomas Greiss, who has dominated the Panthers in his career, or do they go with their starter Seymon Varlamov? Do the Penguins keep the upstart Tristan Jarry or do they go with experience in Matt Murray? Can Petr Mrazek withstand Artemi Panarin’s blitz? Can Frederick Anderson lead the Leafs not only past the qualifiers, but in a long playoff run? Does John Tortorella go with Elvis Merzlinkins or Joonas Korpisalo? Does Dan Quinn give Henrik Lundqvist the chance, due to experience, or does he go with Georgiev or Shesterikin?
In the western qualifiers, the focus is on Connor Hellebyuck. Can the Veznia favorite lead the Jets past the Flames or will David Ritticch prove himself as a true #1 goalie and outduel Hellebyuck? Are Jacob Markstrom and Darcy Kuemper for real? Does Corey Crawford still have the magic in him to shutdown the league’s two best forwards? Can Pekka Rinnie keep Juuse Saros at bay and redeem himself?
The Western Conference
(5) Edmonton vs (12) Chicago
Players to Watch: Connor McDavid, Leon Draitsaitl, Patrick Kane
Season Series: Chicago 2-1
X-Factors: Dominik Kubalik (CHI), James Neal (EDM)
Offense: Edmonton; Defense: Edmonton; Goaltending: Chicago; Coaching: Edmonton; Experience: Chicago; Special Teams: Edmonton
Edmonton in 4
(6) Nashville vs (11) Arizona
Players to Watch: Taylor Hall (ARZ), Roman Josi (NSH)
Season Series: Tied 1-1
X-Factors: Matt Duchene (NSH), Connor Garland (ARZ)
Offense: Even, Defense: NSH, Goaltending: Even, Coaching: NSH, Experience: NSH, Special Teams: ARZ
Nashville in 4
(7) Vancouver vs (10) Minnesota
Players to Watch: Zach Parise (MIN), Elias Pettersson (VAN)
Season Series: Minnesota 2-1
X-Factors: Matt Dumba (MIN), Brock Boeser (VAN)
Offense: VAN, Defense: Even, Goaltending: VAN, Coaching: VAN, Experience: MIN, Special Teams: VAN
Vancouver in 3
(8) Calgary vs (9) Winnipeg
Players to Watch: Mark Gioradano (CGY), Connor Hellebyuck (WPG)
Season Series: Winnipeg 1-0
X-Factors: Patrik Laine (WPG), Matthew Tkachuk (CGY)
Offense: Even, Defense: CGY, Goaltending: WPG, Coaching: WPG, Experience: WPG, Special Teams: CGY
Winnipeg in 5
Western Conference 1st Round
(1) St Louis vs (9) Winnipeg
(2) Vegas vs (7) Vancouver
(3) Colorado vs (6) Nashville
(4) Dallas vs (5) Edmonton
The Eastern Conference
(5) Pittsburgh vs (12) Montreal
Players to Watch: Sidney Crosby (PIT), Carey Price (MTL)
Season Series: Pittsburgh 2-1
X-Factors: Jared McCann (PIT), Jeff Petry (MTL)
Offense: PIT, Defense: PIT, Goaltending: MTL, Coaching: Even, Experience: PIT, Special Teams: PIT
Pittsburgh in 4
(6) Carolina vs (11) NY Rangers
Players to Watch: Sebastian Aho (CAR), Artemi Panarin (NYR)
Season Series: Rangers 4-0
X-Factors: Vincent Trocheck (CAR), Tony DeAngelo (NYR)
Offense: Even, Defense: CAR, Goaltending: NYR, Coaching: Even, Experience: CAR, Special Teams: CAR
NY Rangers in 5
(7) NY Islanders vs (10) Florida
Players to Watch: Sergei Bobrovsky (FLA), Jonathan Huberdeau (FLA), Mathew Barzal (NYI)
Season Series: Islanders 3-0
X-Factors: Noel Acciari (FLA), Jean Gabriel-Pageau (NYI), Adam Pelech (NYI)
Offense: FLA, Defense: NYI, Goaltending: Even, Coaching: Even, Experience: NYI, Special Teams: FLA
Note: More in depth preview coming July 1st
NY Islanders in 5
(8) Toronto vs (9) Columbus
Players to Watch: Seth Jones (CBJ), Auston Matthews (TOR)
Season Series: Tied 1-1
X-Factors: Elvis Merzlinkins (CBJ), William Nylander (TOR)
Offense: TOR, Defense: CBJ, Goaltending: CBJ, Coaching: CBJ, Experience: CBJ, Special Teams: TOR
Columbus in 5
Eastern Conference 1st Round
(1) Boston vs (11) NY Rangers
(2) Tampa vs (9) Columbus
(3) Washington vs (7) NY Islanders
(4) Philadelphia vs (5) Pittsburgh
Upcoming
This week I will be writing articles for every day of the week to be published at 1pm ET. This is the schedule
Sun 6/28- Qualifiers
Mon 6/29- Mock Draft
Tue 6/30-Playoff Predictions
Wed 7/1- Florida vs NY Islanders
Thu 7/2- Team Awards
Fri 7/3- Prospect Spotlight: Owen Tippett
Sat 7/4: Sixteen Super Musings from Superk116, July 4 2020 (basically my version of Elliotte Friedman’s 31 thoughts)
Follow me on twitter @Kylepuck16
I am now the writer for the Fifth Quarter Florida Panthers, my content will be moved there after July 4th. Follow me @FLPanthers_FQ